Thai League 1
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Match Analysis
Chonburi FC
Prachuap
Chonburi FC
L
L
L
L
W
D
Prachuap
W
W
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Prachuap has had the upper hand in meetings between these two teams. The model predicts an away win with a 35% probability, which aligns with Prachuap's clear quality advantage and stronger recent form compared to Chonburi FC's poor form. The market odds also reflect a slight favor towards Prachuap, showing similar confidence in an away victory. Additionally, the model sees a 51% chance that both teams will score, suggesting a likely goal from each side despite the expected outcome.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prachuap | Chonburi FC | 2 - 0 | Thai League 1 | April 18, 2026 |
| Chonburi FC | Prachuap | 1 - 1 | Thai League 1 | September 27, 2025 |
| Chonburi FC | Prachuap | 1 - 1 | Thai League 1 | May 12, 2024 |
| Prachuap | Chonburi FC | 3 - 1 | Thai League 1 | December 15, 2023 |
| Prachuap | Chonburi FC | 3 - 1 | Thai League 1 | February 11, 2023 |
| Chonburi FC | Prachuap | 1 - 0 | Thai League 1 | September 10, 2022 |
Chonburi FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 26 | Away | Sisaket United | Thai League 1 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Buriram United | Thai League 1 | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Rayong FC | Thai League 1 | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Kanchanaburi | Thai League 1 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Prachuap Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 26 | Home | Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Pattani | Thai League 1 | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Rayong FC | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Bangkok Glass | Thai League 1 | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 | 2 - 0 | Win |
Thai League 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Prachuap | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prachuap | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Buriram United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bangkok United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Port FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Sukhothai FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Bangkok Glass | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Chiangrai United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Pattani | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lamphun Warrior | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Prachuap to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Prachuap has a 35.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.15 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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