Chornomorets vs Nyva Vinnytsya Saturday 18th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Chornomorets Nyva Vinnytsya

Chornomorets L W L L D D

Nyva Vinnytsya L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chornomorets	Nyva Vinnytsya	2 - 1	July 12, 2023
Chornomorets	Nyva Vinnytsya	4 - 2	February 15, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Oleksandria	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Kryvbas KR	2 - 1	Win
Jul 16, 25	Away	Obolon'-Brovar	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 9, 25	Away	Ruh Lviv	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 25	Home	Oleksandria	0 - 0	Draw
May 18, 25	Home	Dynamo Kyiv	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Obolon'-Brovar	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	1 - 4	Loss
Feb 15, 25	Away	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	2 - 1	Loss
Feb 21, 24	Away	Zvyahel	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 12, 23	Away	Chornomorets	2 - 1	Loss
Mar 4, 23	Away	Kolos Kovalivka	2 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that Chornomorets has a 40.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.35 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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