Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico DE Rafaela
Club Atlético Güemes
D
D
L
L
L
L
Atletico DE Rafaela
D
W
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, matches between Club Atlético Güemes and Atletico DE Rafaela have often finished level, setting a pattern of draws. The model predicts a draw with a 37% probability, aligning closely with the market's view. Atletico DE Rafaela has a modest quality edge and benefits from a rest advantage, while Güemes are in poor recent form and have defensive struggles. The model also sees the game ending with fewer than 2.5 goals, giving an under probability of 68%, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico DE Rafaela | Club Atlético Güemes | 1 - 2 | April 5, 2026 |
| Club Atlético Güemes | Atletico DE Rafaela | 1 - 1 | October 2, 2022 |
| Atletico DE Rafaela | Club Atlético Güemes | 1 - 1 | September 4, 2021 |
| Club Atlético Güemes | Atletico DE Rafaela | 0 - 2 | April 25, 2021 |
Club Atlético Güemes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Chacarita Juniors | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Atletico Mitre | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Agropecuario | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Tristan Suarez | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Jujuy | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | San Martin S.J. | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Atletico DE Rafaela Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Defensores De Belgrano | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Chacarita Juniors | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | San Martin S.J. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Nueva Chicago | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Temperley | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Deportivo Maipu | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 35 |
| 36 | Club Atlético Güemes | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 21 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 63.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Club Atlético Güemes will score 0 goals, and Atletico DE Rafaela will score 0 goals in the football match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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