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Segunda División

Aug. 15, 2026 6 days, 11 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Colón La Luz
Colón W L L W W D
La Luz D L W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
La Luz Colón 0 - 0 May 9, 2026
La Luz Colón 0 - 1 August 10, 2025
Colón La Luz 1 - 0 May 17, 2025
Colón La Luz 1 - 1 April 13, 2025
Colón La Luz 5 - 0 November 16, 2024
La Luz Colón 0 - 1 July 27, 2024

Colón Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Cerrito 1 - 0 Win
Aug 3, 26 Away Atenas 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Paysandu 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Sportivo Huracan 0 - 2 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Uruguay Montevideo 1 - 0 Win
Jun 28, 26 Away Oriental 1 - 1 Draw

La Luz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Fenix 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Rentistas 2 - 5 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Miramar 0 - 1 Win
Jul 13, 26 Home Tacuarembo 2 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Plaza Colonia 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Away CA River Plate 0 - 0 Draw

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Colón 18 6 6 6 21 21 0 24
8 La Luz 18 5 8 5 16 19 -3 23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Colón to win
This prediction indicates that Colón has a 47.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.71 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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