Confiança vs AO Itabaiana Sunday 26th July 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Confiança AO Itabaiana

Confiança L D W L L D

AO Itabaiana W W L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
AO Itabaiana	Confiança	0 - 1	April 9, 2026
AO Itabaiana	Confiança	0 - 0	July 12, 2025

Confiança Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Barra	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Ypiranga-RS	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 22, 26	Home	Guarani Campinas	2 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Volta Redonda	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Floresta	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Figueirense	0 - 0	Draw

AO Itabaiana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Amazonas	0 - 2	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Ferroviária	1 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Anápolis	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Ituano	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Volta Redonda	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Inter De Limeira	0 - 0	Draw

Serie C Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
18	AO Itabaiana	13	3	4	6	11	17	-6	13
19	Confiança	13	3	2	8	8	12	-4	11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Confiança to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Confiança has a 41.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.16 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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