Corinthians vs Maringá Friday 17th July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Corinthians Maringá

Corinthians W L W D L W

Maringá W D D D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Gremio	1 - 3	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Platense	0 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Atletico-MG	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Penarol	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Botafogo	3 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Sao Paulo	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Volta Redonda	4 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Inter De Limeira	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Caxias	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 15, 26	Home	Maranhão	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Botafogo PB	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Santa Cruz	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction indicates that Corinthians has a 63.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.45 %

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