Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc Sunday 09th August 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Coritiba Chapecoense-sc

Coritiba L L W W D L

Chapecoense-sc L L W L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chapecoense-sc	Coritiba	3 - 3	February 11, 2026
Coritiba	Chapecoense-sc	0 - 0	August 9, 2025
Chapecoense-sc	Coritiba	1 - 2	April 12, 2025
Chapecoense-sc	Coritiba	2 - 1	November 17, 2024
Coritiba	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 0	July 27, 2024
Chapecoense-sc	Coritiba	2 - 1	December 3, 2017

Coritiba Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Home	Palmeiras	1 - 3	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Flamengo	3 - 0	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Bahia	3 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Santos	0 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Internacional	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Vitoria	4 - 1	Loss

Chapecoense-sc Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Home	Flamengo	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Bahia	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Gremio	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	remo	2 - 3	Loss

Serie A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Coritiba	19	7	5	7	25	27	-2	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	18	1	6	11	17	35	-18	9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.25% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Coritiba to win

This prediction indicates that Coritiba has a 55.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.54 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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