Cruzeiro vs Botafogo Sunday 26th July 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Cruzeiro Botafogo

Cruzeiro W D W W D D

Botafogo L W D W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Botafogo	Cruzeiro	4 - 0	January 30, 2026
Cruzeiro	Botafogo	2 - 2	December 4, 2025
Botafogo	Cruzeiro	0 - 2	August 3, 2025
Botafogo	Cruzeiro	0 - 3	July 28, 2024
Cruzeiro	Botafogo	3 - 2	April 14, 2024
Botafogo	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	December 3, 2023

Cruzeiro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Defensor Sporting	2 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Fluminense	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Home	Barcelona SC	4 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 1	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Draw

Botafogo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Bahia	2 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Away	Caracas FC	1 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	Independiente	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Corinthians	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Atletico-MG	1 - 1	Draw

Serie A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Cruzeiro	17	6	5	6	23	27	-4	23
11	Botafogo	17	6	4	7	31	31	0	22

Predictions

Cruzeiro to win

This prediction indicates that Cruzeiro has a 45.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.56 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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