First Division
Match Analysis
Cork City
UCD
Cork City
W
D
W
W
W
L
UCD
W
D
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | Cork City | 5 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| Cork City | UCD | 3 - 1 | May 8, 2026 |
| UCD | Cork City | 0 - 1 | March 20, 2026 |
| UCD | Cork City | 0 - 1 | September 6, 2024 |
| Cork City | UCD | 0 - 0 | June 3, 2024 |
| UCD | Cork City | 0 - 0 | April 12, 2024 |
Cork City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Wexford | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Treaty United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Kerry | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Athlone Town | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Finn Harps | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | UCD | 5 - 2 | Loss |
UCD Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Finn Harps | 5 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Kerry | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Wexford | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Treaty United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Athlone Town | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Cork City | 5 - 2 | Win |
First Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 25 | +34 | 64 |
| 2 | UCD | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 47 | 33 | +14 | 44 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.81% likelihood that both Cork City and UCD will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Cork City to win
This prediction indicates that Cork City has a 58.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.39 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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