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First Division

Sept. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Finn Harps Athlone Town
Finn Harps L L L L L W
Athlone Town W L D L W L
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Athlone Town Finn Harps 1 - 1 June 26, 2026
Finn Harps Athlone Town 1 - 2 April 24, 2026
Athlone Town Finn Harps 2 - 1 February 13, 2026
Finn Harps Athlone Town 2 - 1 August 22, 2025
Athlone Town Finn Harps 0 - 0 June 20, 2025
Finn Harps Athlone Town 0 - 2 May 9, 2025

Finn Harps Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Away Bray Wanderers 5 - 0 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Away Longford Town 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Cork City 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Away Kerry 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Treaty United 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Home Wexford 1 - 0 Win

Athlone Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Home Longford Town 2 - 1 Win
Aug 3, 26 Away Cork City 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home UCD 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Away Treaty United 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 10, 26 Home Cobh Ramblers 2 - 0 Win
Jul 3, 26 Away Bray Wanderers 1 - 0 Loss

First Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Athlone Town 26 7 7 12 24 32 -8 28
10 Finn Harps 26 5 7 14 21 48 -27 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Athlone Town to win
This prediction indicates that Athlone Town has a 42.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.78 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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