League One
Match Analysis
Cove Rangers
Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
L
L
L
D
L
L
Alloa Athletic
W
W
L
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cove Rangers | Alloa Athletic | 0 - 1 | April 4, 2026 |
| Alloa Athletic | Cove Rangers | 2 - 2 | January 31, 2026 |
| Cove Rangers | Alloa Athletic | 0 - 0 | November 22, 2025 |
| Alloa Athletic | Cove Rangers | 2 - 1 | September 20, 2025 |
| Cove Rangers | Alloa Athletic | 1 - 1 | April 19, 2025 |
| Alloa Athletic | Cove Rangers | 2 - 1 | March 1, 2025 |
Cove Rangers Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | East Kilbride | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 11, 26 | Away | Stirling Albion | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | East Fife | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Airdrie United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Dumbarton | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Dunfermline | 5 - 0 | Loss |
Alloa Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Montrose | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Stranraer | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Hamilton Academical | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | East Fife | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Ayr Utd | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Falkirk | 1 - 1 | Draw |
League One Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alloa Athletic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Predictions
Cove Rangers to win
This prediction indicates that Cove Rangers has a 42.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.07 %Most Likely Scorelines
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