Criciuma vs Nautico Recife Sunday 26th July 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Criciuma Nautico Recife

Criciuma W W W W D W

Nautico Recife D L L D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nautico Recife	Criciuma	0 - 1	March 22, 2026
Criciuma	Nautico Recife	2 - 1	October 7, 2022
Nautico Recife	Criciuma	1 - 1	June 29, 2022
Criciuma	Nautico Recife	0 - 0	November 14, 2017
Nautico Recife	Criciuma	1 - 2	July 29, 2017
Nautico Recife	Criciuma	0 - 1	August 20, 2016

Criciuma Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Away	Ponte Preta	1 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Sport Recife	1 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	São Bernardo	1 - 0	Win
Jun 23, 26	Away	America Mineiro	0 - 1	Win
Jun 16, 26	Home	Ceara	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	Londrina	1 - 0	Win

Nautico Recife Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Juventude	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Home	Goias	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Vila Nova	4 - 3	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Novorizontino	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 9, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	0 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Sport Recife	2 - 0	Loss

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Criciuma	17	9	6	2	20	12	+8	33
12	Nautico Recife	16	6	3	7	21	19	+2	21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.62% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Criciuma to win

This prediction indicates that Criciuma has a 48.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.75 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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