Cuiaba vs America Mineiro Friday 03rd July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Cuiaba America Mineiro

Cuiaba D L W W W L

America Mineiro L L W L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
America Mineiro	Cuiaba	1 - 1	November 16, 2025
Cuiaba	America Mineiro	3 - 1	July 24, 2025
Cuiaba	America Mineiro	2 - 2	September 15, 2023
America Mineiro	Cuiaba	1 - 2	May 7, 2023
Cuiaba	America Mineiro	2 - 1	September 29, 2022
America Mineiro	Cuiaba	2 - 1	June 4, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Home	Londrina	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Avai	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Vila Nova	1 - 0	Win
Jun 9, 26	Away	Ponte Preta	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	CRB	2 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Nautico Recife	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Operario-PR	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	Criciuma	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Away	Fortaleza EC	0 - 3	Win
Jun 8, 26	Home	Atletico Goianiense	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Juventude	3 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Vila Nova	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Cuiaba	15	4	8	3	11	9	+2	20
20	America Mineiro	15	1	3	11	10	26	-16	6

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.07% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Cuiaba has a 43.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.19 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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