Primera División
Match Analysis
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
W
L
W
L
W
W
UCV Moquegua
W
D
L
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCV Moquegua | Cusco | 1 - 2 | March 21, 2026 |
Cusco Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Juan Pablo II College | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Comerciantes Unidos | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | UTC | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Universitario | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Alianza Atletico | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | ADT | 1 - 2 | Win |
UCV Moquegua Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Sport Huancayo | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Sport Boys | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Deportivo Garcilaso | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | FBC Melgar | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | UTC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Comerciantes Unidos | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cusco | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cusco to win
This prediction indicates that Cusco has a 58.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.70 %Most Likely Scorelines
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