Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław Wednesday 15th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Czarni Połaniec Jarosław

Czarni Połaniec W W L W W L

Jarosław W W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Czarni Połaniec Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Star Starachowice	2 - 0	Win
Feb 14, 26	Away	Sokół Kolb.	0 - 2	Win
Feb 15, 25	Away	Hutnik Kraków	8 - 0	Loss
Feb 1, 25	Home	Unia Tarnow	2 - 0	Win
Feb 10, 24	Away	KSZO 1929	1 - 4	Win
Jan 20, 24	Away	Stal Stalowa Wola	5 - 1	Loss

Jarosław Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 18, 25	Home	Hetman Zamosc	5 - 2	Win
Feb 12, 25	Home	Sokół Sieniawa	4 - 2	Win
Feb 8, 25	Home	Tomasovia Tomaszów	2 - 1	Win
Jan 26, 25	Away	Puszcza Niepołomice	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 17, 25	Away	Wiązownica	3 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.15% likelihood that both Czarni Połaniec and Jarosław will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Czarni Połaniec to win

This prediction indicates that Czarni Połaniec has a 44.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.32 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 82.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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