Primera División
Match Analysis
D. La Serena
Nublense
D. La Serena
W
D
L
D
D
L
Nublense
W
D
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | D. La Serena | 2 - 2 | March 15, 2026 |
| D. La Serena | Nublense | 1 - 1 | October 18, 2025 |
| Nublense | D. La Serena | 2 - 0 | April 25, 2025 |
| D. La Serena | Nublense | 3 - 0 | July 30, 2022 |
| Nublense | D. La Serena | 3 - 1 | March 4, 2022 |
| Nublense | D. La Serena | 0 - 1 | October 5, 2021 |
D. La Serena Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Universidad de Concepcion | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Coquimbo Unido | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | O'Higgins | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | U. Catolica | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | A. Italiano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Colo Colo | 2 - 4 | Loss |
Nublense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Union La Calera | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Away | A. Italiano | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Palestino | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Huachipato | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Cobresal | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Universidad de Concepcion | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nublense | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 29 |
| 12 | D. La Serena | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 23 |
Predictions
D. La Serena to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that D. La Serena has a 38.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.96 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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