Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura
Danubio logo Danubio
Aug. 23, 2026 1 week, 1 day from now VS
Racing Montevideo logo Racing Montevideo

Match Analysis

Danubio Racing Montevideo
Danubio L D L D D D
Racing Montevideo D W L D D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Racing Montevideo Danubio 4 - 0 February 21, 2026
Racing Montevideo Danubio 1 - 2 November 2, 2025
Danubio Racing Montevideo 1 - 2 June 18, 2025
Danubio Racing Montevideo 0 - 0 May 3, 2025
Racing Montevideo Danubio 0 - 0 November 17, 2024
Danubio Racing Montevideo 0 - 1 May 19, 2024

Danubio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Cerro 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Albion FC 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Away Atletico Torque 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Club Nacional 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Home Juventud 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 5, 26 Away Wanderers 0 - 0 Draw

Racing Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 10, 26 Away Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Boston River 1 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Cerro 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home Penarol 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away Central Espanol 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Defensor Sporting 0 - 0 Draw

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Racing Montevideo 22 11 8 3 27 17 +10 41
14 Danubio 23 4 10 9 22 31 -9 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Danubio to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Danubio has a 39.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.57 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primera División - Apertura

Racing Montevideo vs Club Nacional 17 hours from now · 10:30 p.m. › Juventud vs Atletico Torque 14 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Cerro vs Albion FC 11 hours from now · 4 p.m. › Boston River vs Danubio 3 hours ago · 1 a.m. ›