Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
D
W
D
D
D
L
New England Revolution
D
W
D
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | DC United | 1 - 0 | April 11, 2026 |
| New England Revolution | DC United | 2 - 0 | August 9, 2025 |
| DC United | New England Revolution | 1 - 1 | May 28, 2025 |
| New England Revolution | DC United | 1 - 2 | October 5, 2024 |
| DC United | New England Revolution | 3 - 1 | February 25, 2024 |
| New England Revolution | DC United | 4 - 0 | July 15, 2023 |
DC United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Nashville SC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Toronto FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | CF Montreal | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | St. Louis City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 1 - 3 | Loss |
New England Revolution Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | CF Montreal | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Atlanta United FC | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Toronto FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Charlotte | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Minnesota United FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Nashville SC | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | New England Revolution | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 21 | +7 | 30 |
| 17 | DC United | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 23 |
Predictions
DC United or New England Revolution to win
This prediction indicates that New England Revolution has a 38.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.11 %Most Likely Scorelines
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