Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
W
L
D
L
D
D
Liverpool Montevideo
W
D
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting | Liverpool Montevideo | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| Liverpool Montevideo | Defensor Sporting | 1 - 2 | February 14, 2026 |
| Liverpool Montevideo | Defensor Sporting | 2 - 0 | August 30, 2025 |
| Defensor Sporting | Liverpool Montevideo | 4 - 2 | June 14, 2025 |
| Defensor Sporting | Liverpool Montevideo | 0 - 1 | March 7, 2025 |
| Defensor Sporting | Liverpool Montevideo | 2 - 1 | October 21, 2024 |
Defensor Sporting Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Cerro | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Liverpool Montevideo | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | Cerro Largo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Cruzeiro | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Boston River | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Racing Montevideo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Liverpool Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Albion FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Central Espanol | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Defensor Sporting | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Cerro | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 8, 26 | Home | Cerro Largo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 1, 26 | Away | Boston River | 0 - 1 | Win |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 29 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.48% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Defensor Sporting to win
This prediction indicates that Defensor Sporting has a 44.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.15 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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