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Match Analysis

Deportes Santa Cruz Recoleta
Deportes Santa Cruz D L L W D L
Recoleta D W D W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Recoleta Deportes Santa Cruz 1 - 0 May 9, 2026
Deportes Santa Cruz Recoleta 0 - 0 July 19, 2025
Recoleta Deportes Santa Cruz 3 - 2 February 28, 2025
Recoleta Deportes Santa Cruz 1 - 0 July 31, 2024
Deportes Santa Cruz Recoleta 1 - 2 March 17, 2024
Deportes Santa Cruz Recoleta 1 - 1 September 2, 2023

Deportes Santa Cruz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Union San Felipe 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Magallanes 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Home San Luis 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Away Curico Unido 1 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home D. Puerto Montt 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Santiago Wanderers 1 - 3 Loss

Recoleta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Curico Unido 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Deportes Copiapo 2 - 1 Win
Aug 18, 26 Away Deportes Temuco 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 12, 26 Home Rangers de Talca 4 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Union San Felipe 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home D. Puerto Montt 0 - 1 Loss

Primera B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Recoleta 21 8 6 7 32 31 +1 30
15 Deportes Santa Cruz 22 3 8 11 24 37 -13 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Deportes Santa Cruz to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Deportes Santa Cruz has a 36.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.17 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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