Primera A
Match Analysis
Deportes Tolima
Chico
Deportes Tolima
L
L
W
W
L
D
Chico
L
L
W
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chico | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 1 | March 23, 2026 |
| Deportes Tolima | Chico | 4 - 0 | September 15, 2025 |
| Chico | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 4 | April 2, 2025 |
| Deportes Tolima | Chico | 2 - 1 | September 15, 2024 |
| Chico | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 1 | March 1, 2024 |
| Deportes Tolima | Chico | 2 - 0 | September 30, 2023 |
Deportes Tolima Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Once Caldas | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | Llaneros | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 1, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Independiente del Valle | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Bucaramanga | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Chico Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Millonarios | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Once Caldas | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Rionegro Aguilas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Fortaleza FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 31 | +12 | 53 |
| 19 | Chico | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 47 | -25 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportes Tolima to win
This prediction indicates that Deportes Tolima has a 66.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.73 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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