Primera A
Match Analysis
Deportes Tolima
La Equidad
Deportes Tolima
W
D
L
L
L
W
La Equidad
W
L
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Equidad | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 0 | February 2, 2026 |
| La Equidad | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 2 | October 20, 2025 |
| Deportes Tolima | La Equidad | 2 - 1 | April 26, 2025 |
| Deportes Tolima | La Equidad | 5 - 1 | August 10, 2024 |
| Deportes Tolima | La Equidad | 3 - 0 | May 23, 2024 |
| La Equidad | Deportes Tolima | 2 - 3 | May 18, 2024 |
Deportes Tolima Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Quindio | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Universitario | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Atletico Nacional | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 19, 26 | Away | Coquimbo Unido | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Atletico Nacional | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Deportivo Pasto | 0 - 2 | Win |
La Equidad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Internacional Palmira | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 12, 26 | Away | Atletico Nacional | 7 - 1 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 27, 26 | Home | Chico | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 20, 26 | Away | Once Caldas | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | +10 | 37 |
| 8 | La Equidad | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportes Tolima to win
This prediction indicates that Deportes Tolima has a 67.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.78 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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