Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Deportivo Maipu
Patronato
Deportivo Maipu
W
L
W
L
D
W
Patronato
L
D
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patronato | Deportivo Maipu | 0 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| Patronato | Deportivo Maipu | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2025 |
| Deportivo Maipu | Patronato | 1 - 1 | March 16, 2025 |
| Deportivo Maipu | Patronato | 3 - 1 | August 18, 2024 |
| Patronato | Deportivo Maipu | 1 - 2 | March 31, 2024 |
Deportivo Maipu Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Godoy Cruz | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Midland | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Atlanta | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | San Martin Tucuman | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Atletico DE Rafaela | 1 - 3 | Win |
Patronato Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Colon Santa Fe | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Colegiales | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Quilmes | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Midland | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | San Martin Tucuman | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Deportivo Maipu | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 35 |
| 31 | Patronato | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportivo Maipu to win
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Maipu has a 50.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.80 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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