Deportivo Merlo vs Villa San Carlos Saturday 25th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Deportivo Merlo Villa San Carlos

Deportivo Merlo D L L L D L

Villa San Carlos D W D D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Villa San Carlos	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 1	March 14, 2026
Deportivo Merlo	Villa San Carlos	1 - 1	October 12, 2025
Villa San Carlos	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 1	May 24, 2025
Villa San Carlos	Deportivo Merlo	0 - 1	July 27, 2024
Deportivo Merlo	Villa San Carlos	1 - 1	March 10, 2024
Deportivo Merlo	Villa San Carlos	2 - 2	August 19, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Villa Dalmine	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Excursionistas	5 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Arsenal Sarandi	4 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Argentino de Merlo	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 5, 26	Away	Talleres Remedios	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	San Martín Burzaco	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Ituzaingó	1 - 3	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Liniers	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Real Pilar	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Away	Villa Dalmine	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	Deportivo Merlo	23	8	7	8	27	35	-8	31
21	Villa San Carlos	23	4	9	10	24	30	-6	21

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Deportivo Merlo has a 37.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.95 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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