Deportivo Moron vs Almagro Saturday 15th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Deportivo Moron Almagro

Deportivo Moron W D L L W W

Almagro W L W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Almagro	Deportivo Moron	2 - 0	March 28, 2026
Deportivo Moron	Almagro	0 - 0	June 30, 2024
Almagro	Deportivo Moron	2 - 1	February 10, 2024
Almagro	Deportivo Moron	0 - 1	June 10, 2023
Deportivo Moron	Almagro	0 - 1	February 4, 2023
Deportivo Moron	Almagro	3 - 0	August 6, 2022

Deportivo Moron Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Ferro Carril Oeste	4 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Deportivo Madryn	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Defensores De Belgrano	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Ferro Carril Oeste	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Ciudad de Bolívar	1 - 2	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Almirante Brown	1 - 0	Win

Almagro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 26	Away	Atlanta	1 - 3	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	San Martin Tucuman	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Atletico DE Rafaela	1 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Atlanta	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Agropecuario	2 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Tristan Suarez	0 - 0	Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Deportivo Moron	21	11	5	5	33	19	+14	38
24	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16	22	-6	25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Deportivo Moron to win

This prediction indicates that Deportivo Moron has a 53.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.22 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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