Primera A
Match Analysis
Deportivo Pasto
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
W
L
D
L
D
L
Fortaleza FC
D
D
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza FC | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 2 | March 25, 2026 |
| Fortaleza FC | Deportivo Pasto | 2 - 0 | October 24, 2025 |
| Deportivo Pasto | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 0 | May 4, 2025 |
| Fortaleza FC | Deportivo Pasto | 0 - 0 | September 15, 2024 |
| Deportivo Pasto | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 0 | March 5, 2024 |
| Deportivo Pasto | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 0 | November 6, 2016 |
Deportivo Pasto Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Cucuta | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | La Equidad | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Fortaleza FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | Once Caldas | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Chico | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 2 - 0 | Win |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportivo Pasto | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 39 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 30 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.2% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Deportivo Pasto to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Deportivo Pasto has a 40.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.05 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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