Derry City vs Drogheda United Friday 26th June 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Derry City Drogheda United

Derry City D L W L D D

Drogheda United D L D D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Drogheda United	Derry City	1 - 0	May 8, 2026
Derry City	Drogheda United	2 - 2	March 20, 2026
Drogheda United	Derry City	1 - 1	September 26, 2025
Derry City	Drogheda United	3 - 0	June 27, 2025
Drogheda United	Derry City	1 - 1	May 16, 2025
Derry City	Drogheda United	1 - 3	April 11, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 22, 26	Away	Shamrock Rovers	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Galway United	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Bohemians	4 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Dundalk	2 - 1	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Shelbourne	0 - 0	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	St Patrick's Athl.	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 19, 26	Home	Shelbourne	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	St Patrick's Athl.	2 - 0	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	Waterford	3 - 3	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	Dundalk	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Away	Waterford	2 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Away	Bohemians	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Derry City	23	5	11	7	28	27	+1	26
8	Drogheda United	21	5	7	9	27	36	-9	22

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Derry City has a 48.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.77 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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