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Premier Division

July 3, 2026 3 days, 20 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Derry City Waterford
Derry City W D L W L D
Waterford W L W D L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Waterford Derry City 2 - 2 May 15, 2026
Derry City Waterford 4 - 2 February 27, 2026
Waterford Derry City 1 - 2 October 17, 2025
Derry City Waterford 7 - 2 July 4, 2025
Waterford Derry City 2 - 1 April 25, 2025
Derry City Waterford 1 - 2 February 28, 2025

Derry City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Home Drogheda United 2 - 0 Win
Jun 22, 26 Away Shamrock Rovers 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 19, 26 Away Galway United 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Home Bohemians 4 - 1 Win
May 29, 26 Away Dundalk 2 - 1 Loss
May 25, 26 Home Shelbourne 0 - 0 Draw

Waterford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away Dundalk 2 - 3 Win
Jun 19, 26 Home Shamrock Rovers 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 12, 26 Home Sligo Rovers 4 - 0 Win
May 29, 26 Away Drogheda United 3 - 3 Draw
May 22, 26 Away Shelbourne 2 - 1 Loss
May 18, 26 Home Drogheda United 2 - 1 Win

Premier Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Derry City 24 6 11 7 30 27 +3 29
10 Waterford 22 3 8 11 28 44 -16 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.43% likelihood that both Derry City and Waterford will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Derry City to win
This prediction indicates that Derry City has a 46.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.28 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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