Premier Division
Match Analysis
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
W
D
L
W
L
D
Waterford
W
L
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waterford | Derry City | 2 - 2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Derry City | Waterford | 4 - 2 | February 27, 2026 |
| Waterford | Derry City | 1 - 2 | October 17, 2025 |
| Derry City | Waterford | 7 - 2 | July 4, 2025 |
| Waterford | Derry City | 2 - 1 | April 25, 2025 |
| Derry City | Waterford | 1 - 2 | February 28, 2025 |
Derry City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Drogheda United | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 22, 26 | Away | Shamrock Rovers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 19, 26 | Away | Galway United | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 12, 26 | Home | Bohemians | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Dundalk | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 25, 26 | Home | Shelbourne | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Waterford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Dundalk | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 19, 26 | Home | Shamrock Rovers | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 12, 26 | Home | Sligo Rovers | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Drogheda United | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Shelbourne | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 18, 26 | Home | Drogheda United | 2 - 1 | Win |
Premier Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Derry City | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30 | 27 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Waterford | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.43% likelihood that both Derry City and Waterford will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Derry City to win
This prediction indicates that Derry City has a 46.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.28 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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