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USL Championship

Sept. 20, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Detroit City Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Detroit City D W D W D L
Pittsburgh Riverhounds D L W W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Detroit City 2 - 1 April 18, 2026
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Detroit City 0 - 0 November 9, 2025
Detroit City Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 - 0 July 18, 2025
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Detroit City 2 - 0 June 7, 2025
Detroit City Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0 - 0 August 7, 2024
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Detroit City 2 - 0 April 27, 2024

Detroit City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Louisville City 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Loudoun United 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away FC Tulsa 0 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Miami FC 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Las Vegas Lights 0 - 1 Loss

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 27, 26 Away El Paso Locomotive 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Brooklyn 0 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Charleston Battery 3 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Sacramento Republic 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Away Oakland Roots 0 - 1 Win

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Detroit City 21 10 6 5 27 17 +10 36
9 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 23 10 4 9 25 23 +2 34

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Detroit City to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Detroit City has a 43.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.76 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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