Erovnuli Liga
Match Analysis
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
L
W
L
W
L
W
Gagra
L
D
D
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gagra | Dinamo Tbilisi | 2 - 1 | June 14, 2026 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Gagra | 0 - 1 | April 21, 2026 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Gagra | 2 - 4 | November 21, 2025 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Gagra | 0 - 1 | September 13, 2025 |
| Gagra | Dinamo Tbilisi | 1 - 1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Gagra | Dinamo Tbilisi | 0 - 4 | April 5, 2025 |
Dinamo Tbilisi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Rustavi | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Spaeri | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 7 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | US Mondorf-les-bains | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | US Mondorf-les-bains | 1 - 2 | Win |
Gagra Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Rustavi | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Spaeri | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Dinamo Batumi | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | BKMA | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | FC Urartu | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 24, 26 | Home | Samgurali | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Erovnuli Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 25 | +8 | 34 |
| 8 | Gagra | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.27% likelihood that both Dinamo Tbilisi and Gagra will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Dinamo Tbilisi to win
This prediction indicates that Dinamo Tbilisi has a 54.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.14 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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