Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Dumbarton Edinburgh City

Dumbarton W L L L L L

Edinburgh City W L W L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Edinburgh City	Dumbarton	5 - 0	May 2, 2026
Dumbarton	Edinburgh City	1 - 2	January 31, 2026
Edinburgh City	Dumbarton	4 - 3	December 6, 2025
Dumbarton	Edinburgh City	1 - 2	August 30, 2025
Dumbarton	Edinburgh City	1 - 1	May 7, 2022
Edinburgh City	Dumbarton	4 - 1	May 3, 2022

Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Cove Rangers	2 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	East Kilbride	5 - 3	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Dunfermline	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	ST Mirren	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Linlithgow Rose	4 - 3	Loss

Edinburgh City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Away	Stranraer	0 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Falkirk	0 - 5	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	4 - 0	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Edinburgh City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Dumbarton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.76% likelihood that both Dumbarton and Edinburgh City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Dumbarton to win

This prediction indicates that Dumbarton has a 45.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.81 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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