League Two
Match Analysis
Dumbarton
Elgin City
Dumbarton
L
L
W
L
W
L
Elgin City
W
L
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin City | Dumbarton | 1 - 1 | March 14, 2026 |
| Dumbarton | Elgin City | 2 - 2 | January 24, 2026 |
| Elgin City | Dumbarton | 2 - 0 | November 15, 2025 |
| Dumbarton | Elgin City | 1 - 1 | August 16, 2025 |
| Dumbarton | Elgin City | 2 - 2 | April 27, 2024 |
| Elgin City | Dumbarton | 0 - 1 | January 27, 2024 |
Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Edinburgh City | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Airdrie United | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Clyde | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Stirling Albion | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | East Kilbride | 5 - 3 | Loss |
Elgin City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Kelty Hearts | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Ross County | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Forfar Athletic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Edinburgh City | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Hamilton Academical | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Kilmarnock | 0 - 1 | Loss |
League Two Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elgin City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 4 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.05% likelihood that both Dumbarton and Elgin City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Elgin City to win
This prediction indicates that Elgin City has a 44.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.33 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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