Dunfermline vs Dumbarton Tuesday 14th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Dunfermline Dumbarton

Dunfermline W L L L D D

Dumbarton L L L L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dumbarton	Dunfermline	0 - 4	July 19, 2025
Dunfermline	Dumbarton	5 - 1	July 17, 2021
Dumbarton	Dunfermline	0 - 1	October 6, 2020
Dunfermline	Dumbarton	4 - 0	April 28, 2018
Dumbarton	Dunfermline	0 - 1	January 6, 2018
Dunfermline	Dumbarton	2 - 2	November 25, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Clyde	1 - 2	Win
Jun 25, 26	Away	FC Botosani	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Celtic	3 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Away	Partick	2 - 1	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	Partick	1 - 1	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Arbroath	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Linlithgow Rose	4 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Edinburgh City	5 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	East Kilbride	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Clyde	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Stirling Albion	2 - 1	Win
Apr 4, 26	Away	Stranraer	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Dumbarton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Dunfermline	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Dunfermline has a 54.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.16 %

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