Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers Friday 28th August 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Championship

Dunfermline

Aug. 28, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Raith Rovers

Match Analysis

Dunfermline Raith Rovers

Dunfermline D D W W W L

Raith Rovers W D L W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dunfermline	Raith Rovers	3 - 0	March 14, 2026
Raith Rovers	Dunfermline	1 - 2	December 27, 2025
Dunfermline	Raith Rovers	2 - 0	October 17, 2025
Raith Rovers	Dunfermline	2 - 0	August 22, 2025
Raith Rovers	Dunfermline	2 - 0	March 14, 2025
Dunfermline	Raith Rovers	3 - 1	February 1, 2025

Dunfermline Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Ayr Utd	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Away	Inverness CT	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	ST Mirren	0 - 1	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Cove Rangers	5 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Dumbarton	4 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	East Kilbride	3 - 0	Loss

Raith Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Queen's Park	1 - 2	Win
Aug 1, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Home	Heart Of Midlothian	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Peterhead	1 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Hamilton Academical	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Draw

Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Raith Rovers	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
6	Dunfermline	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1

Predictions

Dunfermline or Raith Rovers to win

This prediction indicates that Dunfermline has a 41.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.50 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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