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League Two
Elgin City logo Elgin City
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Stranraer logo Stranraer

Match Analysis

Elgin City Stranraer
Elgin City W W D W L D
Stranraer L W W D W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Elgin City Stranraer 0 - 1 May 2, 2026
Stranraer Elgin City 1 - 2 February 28, 2026
Elgin City Stranraer 1 - 2 December 13, 2025
Stranraer Elgin City 1 - 1 September 20, 2025
Elgin City Stranraer 3 - 0 April 26, 2025
Stranraer Elgin City 1 - 0 February 15, 2025

Elgin City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Stirling Albion 4 - 0 Win
Aug 25, 26 Away Clachnacuddin 0 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Spartans 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Kelty Hearts 4 - 1 Win
Aug 11, 26 Home Ross County 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Forfar Athletic 1 - 1 Draw

Stranraer Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 1, 26 Home Celtic II 3 - 4 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Kelty Hearts 2 - 0 Win
Aug 25, 26 Home Gala Fairydean Rovers 3 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Stirling Albion 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Spartans 1 - 0 Win
Aug 11, 26 Away Alloa Athletic 2 - 1 Loss

League Two Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Elgin City 4 2 2 0 13 5 +8 8
8 Stranraer 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.09% likelihood that both Elgin City and Stranraer will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Elgin City to win
This prediction indicates that Elgin City has a 50.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.13 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Clyde vs Edinburgh City 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Stirling Albion vs Spartans 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Dumbarton vs Elgin City 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›