Eerste Divisie logo

Eerste Divisie
Emmen logo Emmen
Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
De Graafschap logo De Graafschap

Match Analysis

Emmen De Graafschap
Emmen W W W W L L
De Graafschap L L D L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Emmen De Graafschap 1 - 0 April 24, 2026
De Graafschap Emmen 2 - 3 September 5, 2025
De Graafschap Emmen 4 - 0 January 24, 2025
Emmen De Graafschap 3 - 0 November 25, 2024
Emmen De Graafschap 2 - 1 May 10, 2024
De Graafschap Emmen 2 - 0 October 31, 2023

Emmen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Home Jong AZ 3 - 1 Win
Aug 17, 26 Away Jong Ajax 4 - 6 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Roda 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Almere City FC 4 - 0 Win
Jul 24, 26 Home Twente 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Heracles 2 - 0 Loss

De Graafschap Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Away VVV Venlo 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Home Jong AZ 2 - 5 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Excelsior 1 - 5 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Kifisia 4 - 2 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Telstar 3 - 6 Loss

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Emmen 3 3 0 0 10 5 +5 9
17 De Graafschap 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.96% likelihood that both Emmen and De Graafschap will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Emmen to win
This prediction indicates that Emmen has a 47.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.84 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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