Estoril vs Atlético CP Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Estoril Atlético CP

Estoril L D D L L L

Atlético CP W L W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Benfica	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Alverca	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	SC Braga	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Famalicao	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 20, 26	Away	Moreirense	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Home	FC Porto	1 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Away	Lusitano Évora 1911	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	1º Dezembro	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Caldas	2 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	SC Covilha	2 - 1	Loss
Mar 22, 26	Home	Amora	1 - 2	Loss
Mar 14, 26	Away	Caldas	0 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that Estoril has a 58.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.80 %

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