Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Excursionistas
Ituzaingó
Excursionistas
W
L
W
D
D
W
Ituzaingó
D
L
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ituzaingó | Excursionistas | 1 - 3 | April 25, 2026 |
| Ituzaingó | Excursionistas | 1 - 0 | November 20, 2021 |
| Ituzaingó | Excursionistas | 1 - 1 | October 13, 2021 |
| Excursionistas | Ituzaingó | 0 - 0 | June 16, 2021 |
| Ituzaingó | Excursionistas | 2 - 1 | February 10, 2020 |
| Excursionistas | Ituzaingó | 2 - 0 | August 19, 2019 |
Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Deportivo Laferrere | 5 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Brown DE Adrogue | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Deportivo Armenio | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Flandria | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Argentino Quilmes | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Defensores Unidos | 0 - 2 | Win |
Ituzaingó Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Argentino de Merlo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Deportivo Camioneros | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Talleres Remedios | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Sportivo Italiano | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Deportivo Laferrere | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | San Martín Burzaco | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 23 | +22 | 56 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 19 | 47 | -28 | 13 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Excursionistas to win
This prediction indicates that Excursionistas has a 64.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.10 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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