Fátima vs Academico Viseu Sunday 18th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

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Fátima View team ›

Oct. 18, 2026 9 hours ago VS

Academico Viseu View team ›

Match Analysis

Fátima Academico Viseu

Fátima W W L L L L

Academico Viseu W W W W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Academico Viseu are seen as clearly the stronger side, with better recent form and a sharper attacking edge. Despite Fátima's rest advantage, the model predicts an away win with a 52% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward both teams scoring and toward there being more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match, seeing these outcomes as slightly more likely than the market implies.

Fátima Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Vinhais	Taça de Portugal	4 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Benfica Castelo Branco	Taça de Portugal	3 - 1	Win
Sep 20, 25	Away	Caldas	Taça de Portugal	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 1, 25	Home	Amora	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 25	Away	O Elvas	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 25	Home	Lusitano Évora 1911	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	0 - 1	Loss

Academico Viseu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Estoril	Primeira Liga	2 - 1	Win
Sep 20, 26	Away	Estrela	Primeira Liga	0 - 2	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Guimaraes	Primeira Liga	2 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 26	Away	GIL Vicente	Primeira Liga	0 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	FC Porto	Primeira Liga	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Maritimo	Primeira Liga	2 - 2	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.23% likelihood that both Fátima and Academico Viseu will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Academico Viseu to win

This prediction indicates that Academico Viseu has a 51.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.96 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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