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Taça de Portugal

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Fafe Lajense
Fafe D D W D W W
Lajense L L L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Fafe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Pacos Ferreira 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 21, 26 Home Guimaraes B 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Away São João Ver 1 - 3 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home Vianense 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Maria da Fonte 2 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Sanjoanense 0 - 1 Win

Lajense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 6, 25 Home Lusitano Évora 1911 1 - 7 Loss
Aug 31, 25 Home 1º Dezembro 0 - 1 Loss
Oct 19, 24 Away Amarante 6 - 1 Loss
Sep 22, 24 Home Fabril Barreiro 2 - 1 Win
Sep 21, 24 Home Maria da Fonte 0 - 1 Loss
Oct 1, 22 Home Moreirense 1 - 3 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Fafe to win
This prediction indicates that Fafe has a 62.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.89 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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