J1 League logo

J1 League
Fagiano Okayama logo Fagiano Okayama
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Kyoto Sanga logo Kyoto Sanga

Match Analysis

Fagiano Okayama Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama W L W D W L
Kyoto Sanga D W W L D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kyoto Sanga Fagiano Okayama 5 - 1 April 11, 2026
Fagiano Okayama Kyoto Sanga 1 - 0 March 8, 2026
Kyoto Sanga Fagiano Okayama 5 - 0 August 30, 2025
Fagiano Okayama Kyoto Sanga 2 - 0 February 15, 2025
Fagiano Okayama Kyoto Sanga 0 - 0 November 20, 2021
Kyoto Sanga Fagiano Okayama 2 - 0 June 26, 2021

Fagiano Okayama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Away JEF United Chiba 1 - 2 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Home Beluga Rosso Iwami 3 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Tokyo Verdy 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 2 - 1 Loss

Kyoto Sanga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Away Yokohama F. Marinos 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Home Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 1 Win
Aug 26, 26 Home Maruyasu Okazaki 1 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Mito Hollyhock 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Kawasaki Frontale 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Away V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 1 Loss

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Fagiano Okayama 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4
14 Kyoto Sanga 4 1 1 2 6 8 -2 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Fagiano Okayama to win
This prediction indicates that Fagiano Okayama has a 45.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.59 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. ›