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J1 League
Fagiano Okayama logo Fagiano Okayama
Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Tokyo Verdy logo Tokyo Verdy

Match Analysis

Fagiano Okayama Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama L L W L L W
Tokyo Verdy L D L W D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tokyo Verdy Fagiano Okayama 4 - 2 September 20, 2025
Fagiano Okayama Tokyo Verdy 0 - 1 April 29, 2025
Tokyo Verdy Fagiano Okayama 2 - 3 August 26, 2023
Fagiano Okayama Tokyo Verdy 1 - 2 June 11, 2023
Tokyo Verdy Fagiano Okayama 2 - 0 October 23, 2022
Fagiano Okayama Tokyo Verdy 2 - 1 May 1, 2022

Fagiano Okayama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Away FC Schalke 04 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Away Werder Bremen 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1 - 2 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away SC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away SV Wehen 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Urawa 0 - 2 Win

Tokyo Verdy Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Gamba Osaka 2 - 4 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Yokohama F. Marinos 0 - 6 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Mito Hollyhock 0 - 1 Win
May 13, 26 Away Machida Zelvia 0 - 0 Draw
May 10, 26 Away FC Tokyo 2 - 1 Loss

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tokyo Verdy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Fagiano Okayama 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Fagiano Okayama to win
This prediction indicates that Fagiano Okayama has a 48.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.98 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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