Falkirk vs Ayr Utd Tuesday 14th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Falkirk Ayr Utd

Falkirk L L L W L D

Ayr Utd W L L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ayr Utd	Falkirk	1 - 1	April 11, 2025
Falkirk	Ayr Utd	2 - 2	February 15, 2025
Ayr Utd	Falkirk	5 - 2	December 14, 2024
Falkirk	Ayr Utd	2 - 0	October 5, 2024
Ayr Utd	Falkirk	1 - 0	July 16, 2024
Ayr Utd	Falkirk	0 - 1	September 5, 2023

Falkirk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Rangers	2 - 5	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Heart Of Midlothian	3 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Hibernian	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Motherwell	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Celtic	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Dunfermline	0 - 0	Draw

Ayr Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Glenafton Athletic	3 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Airdrie United	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Ross County	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Arbroath	1 - 0	Win
Apr 7, 26	Home	Dunfermline	0 - 3	Loss

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Ayr Utd	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Falkirk	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.7% likelihood that both Falkirk and Ayr Utd will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Score 2 - 2

This prediction indicates that Falkirk will score 2 goals, and Ayr Utd will score 2 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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