Famalicao vs Arouca Wednesday 22nd July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Famalicao Arouca

Famalicao W D D W D D

Arouca W W D L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Famalicao	Arouca	1 - 0	March 6, 2026
Arouca	Famalicao	1 - 1	October 5, 2025
Arouca	Famalicao	1 - 2	April 5, 2025
Famalicao	Arouca	0 - 0	November 9, 2024
Arouca	Famalicao	3 - 2	February 23, 2024
Famalicao	Arouca	1 - 0	September 22, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Alverca	1 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Estrela	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Benfica	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Estoril	0 - 1	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	SC Braga	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 10, 26	Home	Moreirense	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Tondela	3 - 1	Win
May 11, 26	Away	GIL Vicente	1 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Santa Clara	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Away	Alverca	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Estrela	1 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	SC Braga	1 - 0	Loss

This prediction indicates that Famalicao has a 53.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.52 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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