Primera División
Match Analysis
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
D
D
W
D
W
D
Sporting Cristal
L
L
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | FBC Melgar | 1 - 2 | February 8, 2026 |
| Sporting Cristal | FBC Melgar | 1 - 0 | August 10, 2025 |
| FBC Melgar | Sporting Cristal | 1 - 0 | March 8, 2025 |
| FBC Melgar | Sporting Cristal | 2 - 0 | August 22, 2024 |
| Sporting Cristal | FBC Melgar | 1 - 2 | March 14, 2024 |
| FBC Melgar | Sporting Cristal | 1 - 1 | July 23, 2023 |
FBC Melgar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | LDU de Quito | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | LDU de Quito | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Alianza Atletico | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Juan Pablo II College | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Sport Huancayo | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Sporting Cristal Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Away | Cienciano | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 28, 26 | Away | Cerro Porteno | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | ADT | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Junior | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Away | FC Cajamarca | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Alianza Lima | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | +7 | 25 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 19 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.62% likelihood that both FBC Melgar and Sporting Cristal will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.FBC Melgar to win
This prediction indicates that FBC Melgar has a 51.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.15 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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