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Ettan - Norra

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

FBK Karlstad Vasalund
FBK Karlstad L W D L L W
Vasalund W D W D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Vasalund FBK Karlstad 1 - 3 April 12, 2026
FBK Karlstad Vasalund 1 - 2 September 14, 2024
Vasalund FBK Karlstad 0 - 0 June 30, 2024

FBK Karlstad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Away Arlanda 5 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Enköping 2 - 0 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Hammarby Talang 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Assyriska FF 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Home Hammarby Talang 0 - 7 Loss
Jun 18, 26 Away Sollentuna 0 - 2 Win

Vasalund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home Stocksund 4 - 3 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Piteå 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Stockholm Internazionale 2 - 0 Win
Aug 3, 26 Home Sollentuna 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 26, 26 Away Assyriska FF 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 18, 26 Home Karlberg 0 - 4 Loss

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 FBK Karlstad 17 8 4 5 26 23 +3 28
10 Vasalund 17 5 5 7 24 32 -8 20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.23% likelihood that both FBK Karlstad and Vasalund will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
FBK Karlstad to win
This prediction indicates that FBK Karlstad has a 48.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.94 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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