Superliga
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FC Copenhagen have moderate recent form, while Aarhus have been in strong recent form. Despite Aarhus's recent dominance in head-to-head matches and the even shot volume between the sides, the model predicts a home win with a 60% probability, reflecting the clear quality gap favoring FC Copenhagen and their strong attacking form. The model also leans toward both teams scoring and toward there being over 2.5 goals, seeing these as slightly more likely than what the market odds imply.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus | FC Copenhagen | 4 - 0 | Friendlies Clubs | February 1, 2026 |
| Aarhus | FC Copenhagen | 2 - 0 | Superliga | November 30, 2025 |
| FC Copenhagen | Aarhus | 2 - 3 | Superliga | August 8, 2025 |
| Aarhus | FC Copenhagen | 1 - 3 | Superliga | April 27, 2025 |
| FC Copenhagen | Aarhus | 3 - 1 | Superliga | April 21, 2025 |
| Aarhus | FC Copenhagen | 4 - 3 | Friendlies Clubs | February 8, 2025 |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 26 | Home | SC Braga | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Oct 11, 26 | Away | FC Midtjylland | Superliga | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 4, 26 | Away | Hamburger SV | Friendlies Clubs | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Brondby | Superliga | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Skovshoved | DBU Pokalen | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | AC Horsens | Superliga | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 26 | Away | Gent | UEFA Europa Conference League | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 12, 26 | Home | Sonderjyske | Superliga | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Oct 2, 26 | Home | Vendsyssel FF | Friendlies Clubs | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | AC Horsens | Superliga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Skjold Sæby | DBU Pokalen | 1 - 6 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 24 |
| 10 | Aarhus | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 8 |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 | Viborg | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Brondby | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Silkeborg | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Odense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Aarhus | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
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