FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz Sunday 26th July 2026 05:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Lugano FC Vaduz

FC Lugano W W D W W D

FC Vaduz L W W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Lugano	FC Vaduz	3 - 0	January 15, 2022
FC Lugano	FC Vaduz	0 - 2	May 8, 2021
FC Vaduz	FC Lugano	0 - 3	March 14, 2021
FC Lugano	FC Vaduz	1 - 1	February 3, 2021
FC Vaduz	FC Lugano	1 - 1	October 17, 2020
FC Lugano	FC Vaduz	2 - 1	May 20, 2017

FC Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	FC Heidenheim	0 - 1	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Memmingen	0 - 4	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Rapperswil	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Neuchatel Xamax FC	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	FC Basel 1893	4 - 0	Win
May 14, 26	Away	FC Sion	2 - 2	Draw

FC Vaduz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	SCR Altach	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Austria Lustenau	1 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	SC Kriens	1 - 2	Win
May 15, 26	Away	FC WIL 1900	1 - 3	Win
May 11, 26	Home	FC Aarau	1 - 2	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Étoile Carouge	1 - 2	Win

Super League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	FC Vaduz	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	FC Lugano	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.24% likelihood that both FC Lugano and FC Vaduz will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Lugano to win

This prediction indicates that FC Lugano has a 51.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.37 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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