USL Championship
Match Analysis
FC Tulsa
New Mexico United
FC Tulsa
L
D
W
W
L
L
New Mexico United
D
W
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico United | FC Tulsa | 1 - 0 | August 16, 2026 |
| FC Tulsa | New Mexico United | 3 - 0 | November 16, 2025 |
| New Mexico United | FC Tulsa | 0 - 1 | September 14, 2025 |
| FC Tulsa | New Mexico United | 5 - 2 | August 10, 2025 |
| FC Tulsa | New Mexico United | 1 - 1 | October 13, 2024 |
| New Mexico United | FC Tulsa | 3 - 3 | August 15, 2024 |
FC Tulsa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Phoenix Rising | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | San Antonio | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | New Mexico United | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Detroit City | 0 - 1 | Loss |
New Mexico United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Indy Eleven | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Las Vegas Lights | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Lexington | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Loudoun United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | FC Tulsa | 1 - 0 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New Mexico United | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 23 | +10 | 41 |
| 9 | FC Tulsa | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 36 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.19% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.FC Tulsa to win
This prediction indicates that FC Tulsa has a 40.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.41 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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