Süper Lig
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Match Analysis
Fenerbahce
Alanyaspor
Fenerbahce
L
W
W
W
D
D
Alanyaspor
D
W
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Fenerbahçe carries a significant quality gap in their favor over Alanyaspor, and they have shown strong recent form while dominating their recent meetings. The model predicts a home win with a 74% probability, which is notably higher than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees Fenerbahçe's strong attacking form and greater chance creation as key factors, aligning with the view that they are the clear favorites for this match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | Fenerbahce | 2 - 3 | Süper Lig | January 18, 2026 |
| Fenerbahce | Alanyaspor | 2 - 2 | Süper Lig | September 17, 2025 |
| Alanyaspor | Fenerbahce | 0 - 2 | Süper Lig | February 9, 2025 |
| Fenerbahce | Alanyaspor | 3 - 0 | Süper Lig | August 30, 2024 |
| Fenerbahce | Alanyaspor | 2 - 2 | Süper Lig | February 11, 2024 |
| Alanyaspor | Fenerbahce | 0 - 1 | Süper Lig | September 24, 2023 |
Fenerbahce Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 26 | Away | Aston Villa | UEFA Champions League | 6 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 10, 26 | Away | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Oct 3, 26 | Away | Turan | Friendlies Clubs | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Eyüpspor | Süper Lig | 8 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 14, 26 | Away | Gazişehir Gaziantep | Süper Lig | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | AS Roma | UEFA Champions League | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Alanyaspor Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 26 | Home | Erzurum BB | Süper Lig | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Yeni Çorumspor | Süper Lig | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Goztepe | Süper Lig | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Eyüpspor | Süper Lig | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Besiktas | Süper Lig | 1 - 0 | Win |
Süper Lig Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 13 |
| 7 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 | Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 16 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 | Yeni Çorumspor | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Erzurum BB | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Gazişehir Gaziantep | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Goztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Fenerbahce to win
This prediction indicates that Fenerbahce has a 73.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.61 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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